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Lake of Shadows

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Posts posted by Lake of Shadows

  1. 3 hours ago, JohnOsbourne said:

    Yes, the efficacy of masks is established without any kind of doubt, case closed, end of story. 

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/danish-study-suggests-masks-do-little-stop-covid-iowa-gov-insists-there-evidence-both

    So what's with all the social distancing + masks?  Why do we need both?

    Masks are not a 100% barrier/preventive. Viral load is key in transmission. Droplets and aerosolized virus particles are more concentrated the closer to the person exhaling them. If masked people pass by each other briefly in the grocery store, the amount of virus in the air at any one spot is pretty small. People close to each other for longer periods of time, and if one of them is exhaling the virus, the closer they are to each other and the longer they are close to each other, the more virus is exhaled in the vicinity. Think of what it's like when a smoker is walking past you while smoking versus standing next to you in a conversation for 15-20 minutes while having a cigarette. You would be exposed to a lot more smoke in the latter situation. That's why grocery stores don't seem to be a problem but crowded church services have been sources of outbreaks several times. Covid-19 is transmitted primarily by droplets but it also gets aerosolized. Both masks and distancing help minimize the viral load you might be exposed to or transmit to others. That's why I'm perfectly willing to go to the grocery store (well, some of them) but I'm not going to eat inside a restaurant.

  2. On 12/5/2020 at 1:10 AM, SteveAJones said:

    That would explain the idiotic notions that we should hide in our homes until there is a cure, or given that masks don't work we should mask harder.

    I accepted we had a new paradigm, "Earth + COVID," as I watched the cruise ship passengers climb right into the back of Yokohama taxi cabs.  

    It has been shown repeatedly that masks DO work. They need to be made of appropriate material and worn correctly. They are one of the most important mitigation steps people can take. We don't have to "hide in our homes" but there are certainly higher-risk situations we can and should avoid. They aren't a "magic bullet" and other measures need to be done as well. However people don't like to change their behavior if it's inconvenient in some way. Instead, people would rather ignore recommendations and avoid using some common sense. It's so much more satisfying to gripe about the folks making recommendations and working on the problem than it is to examine and alter our own behavior.

  3. On 12/4/2020 at 8:12 AM, Stryder1978 said:

    Don't forget....

    Fauci first spoke about the wearing of masks amid the COVID-19 pandemic during a March interview with 60 Minutes.

    "Right now, in the United States, people should not be walking around with masks," Fauci said during the interview. "There's no reason to be walking around with a mask."

    He and the CDC changed that within a couple weeks too. It's unfortunate that people hang on to the fist statement and conveniently overlook all the suggestions, requests, etc. made since then. Those recommendations changed over time as they learned more about this new emerging disease.

  4. On 12/4/2020 at 8:59 AM, JohnOsbourne said:

    I'm old enough to remember in the 80's when Fauci was warning that AIDS was going to break out among heterosexuals.  The guy is a bureaucrat, not a scientist.  (And even if he was a scientist, his word shouldn't be taken as gospel.)

    He was right. Look at AIDS in Africa, India and other places back in the 1980s. You're right that his word shouldn't be taken as gospel, but he shouldn't be dismissed either. I think he's more of a scientist than some of you are willing to admit.  Check out the links from this page... a quick review of several of them can give you a decent idea about the prevalence of AIDS in Africa. I worked as a nurse in San Francisco during the 1980s and remember that time period well.
    https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=AIDS+epidemic+in+Africa+1980s
    This article in particular has some useful info

    https://www.blackhistorymonth.org.uk/article/section/real-stories/the-history-of-aids-in-africa/

  5. On January 10, 2016 at 6:58 AM, StringBender said:

    They are coming out of the woodwork...

    Yes, it's been a long time hasn't it A.C.  Where is Hermit, Del, wannabdrummer, Manderly, and my best pal Lakey....and the list goes on an on...

     

     

    Hey there... been a long time...
    Life has been happening, as has the end of it as well. I do miss 'the old days' and some of the conversations/discussions/rants/diatribes... but especially some of the people here, and particularly you StringBender. :)  But... we can't go back it seems... when we try, it's like trying to put toothpaste back in the tube... it doesn't work and the attempt can be kinda messy.

    I pop in briefly every few months and then pop back out. Meanwhile..... *waves hello*

     

     

  6. Yeah, that's the one. As I mentioned, my daughter (who is now 24) watches it occasionally and I've seen it a few times. I do find it cringe-worthy, yet I also kinda enjoy it. (I can't believe I actually admitted that...). The songs are kinda catchy and I think that's what my daughter enjoys about it as much as anything else. I can see how a kid would find it pretty entertaining... I didn't see it until I was an adult with a 6 or 7 year old kid who wanted to see it... and I know I've seen much worse. (like the Dragonlance...omg).

  7. ^^^

    ZEPFAN17, are you actually watching these movies now, or just posting random films from the past that you like?

    I had the same feeling about "The Hobbit", RH. I read the book as a kid and because I loved it, that led me into "The Lord of the Rings". After the Ralph Bakshi disaster in the 70s, I pretty much resigned myself into thinking that the Tolkien books were unfilmable.

    Lo and behold, the Peter Jackson LOTR trilogy wowed and stunned me by how good it was. Needless to say, I was looking forward to "The Hobbit" when news first was reported...especially as Guillermo del Toro("Chronos", "Pan's Labyrinth") was to be the director.

    MGM's financial woes contributed to many delays and del Toro was out and Peter Jackson in the director's chair again.

    But when I saw it last month or whenever opening day was, at the end I didn't feel like I did at the end of "Fellowship of the Ring", the first part of LOTR. It was okay, but with the exception of the Riddle scene between Bilbo and Gollum, nothing wowed me. I'm so bored now with CGI orcs and elves.

    One problem is that while LOTR is three separate books, "The Hobbit" is one, so splitting the book into THREE separate movies smacks of overkill, and deprives the first film of having an ending or story arch. It just ends because that's the part of the story they happen to be when the time is up.

    I also think it would have been better to make "The Hobbit" first, then LOTR. As "The Hobbit" was written more for children and serves as a preamble to the deeper and darker LOTR, there's a sense of "we've been here before" redundancy to "The Hobbit".

    One question for you RH: Did you watch the regular version or the 48fps 3d version? I hate 3d and I heard that the high frame rate made the movie look like video...one friend said it looked like all those old British shows PBS used to air on Masterpiece Theatre.

    So I saw it in the regular 2d version.

    Andy Serkis as Gollum was by far the best thing about "The Hobbit", followed by Ian McKellan's wry and amusing Gandalf the Grey.

    My daughter and I went to see The Hobbit a couple days ago. I pretty much agree with your assessment of it. I could see doing it in two parts but three? OTOH, they were able to insert some of the backstory that, in the books, was actually in the LOTR (or one of the appendices). At least I think it was there, I loved the books, but haven't read them real recently... may be time to do so).

    (I saw that cringe-worthy animated Hobbit thing awhile back. My daughter actually owns it and watches it from time to time ass kind of a joke. When my ex, a long-time Tolkien fan, saw it, he walked out of the theater. As far as I know, he never saw the rest of it).

    Left to my own devices,I probably won't go see the Hobbit again in the theater, but if someone else wanted to go and wanted company, I'd probably go if it could be at the same theater... that was marvelous, and made for a much more enjoyable movie experience.

  8. Still sick, but a bit better. Procedure duly cancelled (the clerk thanked me... twice). Meanwhile, our 33-34 degree rain is changing over to sleet and freezing rain. :freezing:

    (4 days ago, it was 70 out). :baby:

    But... the good news is... I already took the trash cans down a little bit ago. It didn't seem likely to get drier or warmer anytime soon, so that was a good plan.

  9. Back probs Lakey ?

    Yeah. It's a longstanding problem but the epidurals help some. I get them every 3-6 months or so. I doubt the medical folks want my (probably still contagious) coughing self breathing all over them... never mind what steroids can do to someone who's sick.

    Thanks for asking, ally.

  10. I bought Duff's autobiography - It's So Easy (and other lies) - in Seattle and found I had read it cover to cover without putting it down. It's

    a great book!

    I found it recently at Books A Million and bought it. I didn't quite read it cover-to-cover without putting it down, but I came as close as circumstances allowed. I agree it was a great book and I thoroughly enjoyed it.

    Poor poor pouty jerk.

    I wanna wear a Slash t-shirt and yell Freebird... wait a minute... that would mean I'd have to attend a G-n-R concert. Nevermind.

  11. I'm looking forward to hearing the new album by Slash and I'm tickled that Miles Kennedy is the vocalist on the upcoming album. I enjoyed the "rotating vocal cast" used on the first album, but I particularly liked Miles Kennedy.

    So... yay!

    I bought Duff's autobiography - It's So Easy (and other lies) - in Seattle and found I had read it cover to cover without putting it down. It's

    a great book!

    I also didn't know he'd written a book. Thanks for the heads up.

    Now if y'all will excuse me, I need to meander over to Amazon...

  12. cold and windy, but at least the wind isn't spinning in circles... again.

    The tornado missed us by a little bit, but I still have to drive by ripped up trees with weirdly bent sheet metal hanging in them. The houses nearby are a disaster.

    That said, we were quite lucky... again. I really feel for those folks in Indiana and western Kentucky.

  13. Better to be safe than sorry.

    A pandemic is an outbreak of disease over a large area like a country, continent or the entire planet.

    The authorities are in a no win situation, if they release concerns about the virus spreading they are accused of creating panic and if they were to keep it quiet they'd be accused of a cover up.

    True. I think the point behind the various authorities making a 'big deal' about it and the subsequent news coverage of that is to make folks aware so that they will take appropriate precautions. Also, the various public health agencies have things they need to do to try to contain the spread of it. Public awareness and cooperation of those things is helpful, perhaps crucual.

    The biggest problem we have is that viruses have become immune to anti-biotics and each new strain is stronger than the last one and virtually untreatable.

    Erm, antibiotics are for fighting bacterial infections, not viruses.

    However, it's true that a lot of bacterial strains have become resistant to many antibiotics and this problem does seem to be getting worse.

    Unlike "human" influenza, Swine and Bird flu are animal diseases, however, a lot of the deadlier viruses originated from animals.

    AIDS / HIV from Monkeys for example.

    Swine flu is different again because it is a mammalian disease which causes humans a much greater risk of catching it than bird flu, which is still a problem in Asia.

    See Mad Cow Disease.

    There are people who have arrived at Sydney airport from the US / Mexico with flu symptoms who have been checked out and so far seem ok.

    Like everything going on today throughout the world, we should be alert but not alarmed.

    Exactly.

    Most of the precautions we're being advised to take are really common sense type things, that we should do anyway:

    Wash your hands frequently and properly, especially if you're sick, are caring for someone who is sick, or if you're in a high risk group for illness.

    If you are sick, don't go sharing your germs with the rest of the world. Stay home! Cover your mouth when you cough (and then Wash Your Hands)!

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